Peach State Promises

Comment

By John Nichols

This article appeared in the December 8, 2008 edition of The Nation.

November 19, 2008

No one, not even the candidates, expected Georgia would see the hottest Senate contest of '08. This Deep South state, which has not elected a Democrat in a major contest for almost a decade, was thought to have gone so reliably red that Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee chair Chuck Schumer struggled to recruit a challenger for GOP Senator Saxby Chambliss. In March, Schumer talked a former state legislator who had run a losing campaign for lieutenant governor into making what even Democratic loyalists saw as "a mercy run."

But a funny thing happened on the way to November: Jim Martin, a former legal-aid lawyer who had made expanding access to healthcare his Statehouse priority, rejected the apologetic stances usually adopted by Southern Democrats. Martin beat a primary foe who bragged about voting for George W. Bush, and then he ran a fall campaign that highlighted his commitment to bring troops home from Iraq, invest in healthcare and education, and, above all, "protect hard-working Americans from politically powerful special interests like credit card companies, insurance companies, banks and oil companies." Instead of distancing himself from his party's national ticket--a standard Southern Democratic practice in recent years--Martin embraced Barack Obama, whose campaign was making more of a play for the state than any Democratic presidential contender since Bill Clinton.

Martin's bet that Georgia was edging away from the old South and toward the new--going the way of Virginia and North Carolina, as opposed to Alabama and Mississippi--proved right. When the economy went south in September, Obama's numbers went up--nationally and in Georgia--and so did Martin's. Suddenly, the unwinnable race was within reach. And because of the unusual Georgia law that requires a winning candidate for statewide office to gain more than 50 percent of the vote, "within reach" was good enough. On November 4 Chambliss won 49.8 percent, Martin took 46.8 percent and a Libertarian, the remainder. That result set up a December 2 runoff that is arguably the most high-stakes Senate race the country has seen in years. At issue is not just the possibility that Democrats could secure sixty seats in the chamber--a prospect that requires Minnesota Democrat Al Franken to prevail in a recount fight with Norm Coleman and Martin to beat Chambliss. The Georgia runoff is, as well, the first test of Obama's mandate--and of his willingness to spend political capital to extend it. Perhaps more significant, the Georgia contest will provide as clear a signal as we've yet gotten regarding the extent to which candidates can or will compete as unapologetically "national" Democrats in a region that over the past quarter-century has become the GOP heartland.

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About John Nichols

John Nichols, a pioneering political blogger, has written The Beat since 1999. His posts have been circulated internationally, quoted in numerous books and mentioned in debates on the floor of Congress.

Nichols writes about politics for The Nation magazine as its Washington correspondent. He is a contributing writer for The Progressive and In These Times and the associate editor of the Capital Times, the daily newspaper in Madison, Wisconsin. His articles have appeared in the New York Times, Chicago Tribune and dozens of other newspapers.

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